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An Engineered Recession? - March 10th, 2025

An Engineered Recession? - March 10th, 2025

The latest ISM data signals stagflation and adds to the growth narrative, putting pressure on market sentiment. Trump's latest tariff-related decisions/actions further intensified concerns. Meanwhile, there's a risk of a government shutdown (as far as I know). Recent ISM data shows manufacturing stagnation (+0.1%

By Romano Mar 10, 2025

Why I am investing in Meta

Why I am investing in Meta

Many still associate Meta exclusively with Facebook. I used to be one of those people until yesterday. Yesterday, I was at the dentist but decided to buy META on my phone when I accidentally bought 100x more shares than I was supposed to. This was needed for me to see

By Romano Jan 15, 2025

Goldman Sachs - Blackpilled - 'Lost decade' risk

Goldman Sachs - Blackpilled - 'Lost decade' risk

The S&P 500 has undoubtedly been a source of long-term wealth. Over the past four decades, asset prices experienced one of the most significant growth periods in financial history. More than 90% of the price appreciation in traditional equity-bond portfolios over the last 90 years occurred between 1984

By Romano Oct 24, 2024

The BTFP Liquidity Drain

The BTFP Liquidity Drain

Before moving on to crypto, let's start with the situation in the Middle East, especially the Red Sea crisis, which is getting more tense every day. Imagine solving a water shortage by dumping more buckets into the mix when there's a tank leak. That's

By Romano Mar 16, 2024

2024 contrarian trade: Forget Gamma; V for Long Vega

2024 contrarian trade: Forget Gamma; V for Long Vega

Over the past two years, traders have had numerous opportunities to make profitable trades. In 2022, many traders made significant profits by short-selling tech stocks, which was unexpected in 2021. However, in 2023, the market took a complete 180-degree turn, reversing course to the upside, causing bearish traders who had

By Romano Jan 2, 2024

$350 Billion Stealth Injection into the financial system

$350 Billion Stealth Injection into the financial system

Why did everything pump? Seasonality, year-to-end rally, Bitcoin spot ETF, or was it $350 Billion injected into the financial system? There were several factors that contributed to the November rally in the stock market. * These included unprecedented buying from CTAs * massive buybacks by corporations exceeding $5 billion * extreme dealer gamma

By Romano Dec 10, 2023

Walmart stock analysis FY23 - FY26

Walmart stock analysis FY23 - FY26

After Walmart shared its earnings for the third quarter, its stock dropped more than 8%. That's a lot compared to the SPX500. Investors were hoping for better news for the financial year of 2023 (FY23), but Walmart's forecast was disappointing and not what everyone was expecting.

By Romano Nov 25, 2023

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Risk is an inherent part of life, so we cannot eliminate it entirely; however, we can shift it.