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2024 contrarian trade: Forget Gamma; V for Long Vega

2024 contrarian trade: Forget Gamma; V for Long Vega

Over the past two years, traders have had numerous opportunities to make profitable trades. In 2022, many traders made significant profits by short-selling tech stocks, which was unexpected in 2021. However, in 2023, the market took a complete 180-degree turn, reversing course to the upside, causing bearish traders who had

By Romano Jan 2, 2024

$350 Billion Stealth Injection into the financial system

$350 Billion Stealth Injection into the financial system

Why did everything pump? Seasonality, year-to-end rally, Bitcoin spot ETF, or was it $350 Billion injected into the financial system? There were several factors that contributed to the November rally in the stock market. * These included unprecedented buying from CTAs * massive buybacks by corporations exceeding $5 billion * extreme dealer gamma

By Romano Dec 10, 2023

🔥 Ride into the Year-End

🔥 Ride into the Year-End

Today is the big day, boys. Yes, the big day! Let's forget about economics for one moment because Spotify is bussin with its much-awaited annual "Wrapped" feature. Yes, it's that time of the year when we all discover the artists who provided the soundtrack

By Romano Dec 1, 2023

Tactical Hedging

Tactical Hedging

The VIX has been trending down since the start of 2023, dropping by more than 40% from 22.75 on January 3 to 12.68 on September 14, at the time of writing this. That's mainly due to encouraging economic news from the U.S. and increasing optimism

By Romano Sep 21, 2023

VIX - Volatility Forecast Model

VIX - Volatility Forecast Model

The VIX, or the CBOE Volatility Index, is a financial indicator that tries to measure how much the stock market is expected to move in the near future, specifically over the next 30 days. It focuses on the S&P500, one of the stock market indexes that includes 500

By Romano Sep 12, 2023

Russia Prolongs Oil Export Restrictions

Russia Prolongs Oil Export Restrictions

On August 31, ICE Brent oil prices remained strong and showed an uptick the following morning. ICE Brent is a major trading classification of sweet light crude oil that serves as a major benchmark price for oil purchases worldwide. This market behavior was a response to an announcement from Russia

By Romano Sep 5, 2023

PMI, Jackson Hole, Stagflation & BRICS

PMI, Jackson Hole, Stagflation & BRICS

Some people argue that history is just a sequence of unrelated events, one after the other. Similarly, much of the financial market reporting tends to be a stream of individual events, often linked together in a misleading way. There's a phrase called "post hoc ergo propter hoc&

By Romano Aug 25, 2023

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Risk is an inherent part of life, so we cannot eliminate it entirely; however, we can shift it.