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Federal Reserve Possibly Opts for a Pause in Rate Hikes

Federal Reserve Possibly Opts for a Pause in Rate Hikes

Despite speculation about potential pause or rate cuts in response to recent bank collapses, the Federal Reserve ultimately decided to proceed with a 25bps rate hike at their May 3 meeting. They mentioned that they no longer saw the need for "additional policy tightening." That's a

By Romano May 8, 2023

The U.S. Debt Ceiling debate continues (part 2)

The U.S. Debt Ceiling debate continues (part 2)

The debt ceiling debate is starting to become increasingly worrying. The debt ceiling can have far-reaching implications for the global economy. With each passing day, the probability of a violation rise, as well as the potential economic damage it can bring. Please read the previous article about the debt ceiling

By Romano Apr 27, 2023

The U.S. Debt Ceiling & USDJPY opportunity

The U.S. Debt Ceiling & USDJPY opportunity

This time we are left to focus on 1Q2023 US GDP & core PCE inflation figures and the debt ceiling debates (again). Also, the Federal Reserve is entering a blackout period ahead of the anticipated rate meeting on May 3rd, 2023. A blackout period for the Federal Reserve is a

By Romano Apr 24, 2023

Crypto/Digital Assets flow

Crypto/Digital Assets flow

Last month (March), with the banking crisis/turmoil and uncertainty in the air, investors turned to digital assets to diversify and hedge their investments. Partly thanks to the lower-than-anticipated terminal target rate, digital assets have seen price appreciations in the same time frame. The terminal target rate is the final

By Romano Apr 13, 2023

Strategize: Prepare For A Last Rate Hike & Market Crash - part 2

Strategize: Prepare For A Last Rate Hike & Market Crash - part 2

The current banking crisis has resulted in uncertainty, prompting investors to discuss the responsibility of an Armageddon of Commercial Real Estate loans. Growing anxiety that commercial real estate may become this economic cycle's subprime. I covered Commercial Real Estate in a previous large newsletter here which you can

By Romano Apr 12, 2023

Power Struggle: Russia and the US Clashing Over Ukraine and Baltic States

Power Struggle: Russia and the US Clashing Over Ukraine and Baltic States

Europe has been brought to the verge of a serious confrontation due to recent developments, which have been triggered by Russia's aggressive reaction to foreign policy and the dollar's weaponization. The United States has historically endeavored to extend its sphere of influence within Europe, specifically focusing

By Romano Apr 4, 2023

Strategize: Prepare For A Last Rate Hike & Market Crash

Strategize: Prepare For A Last Rate Hike & Market Crash

The current hiking cycle started in 2022, and the Federal Reserve raised interest rates to unprecedented levels, putting immense pressure on the balance sheets of many banks, especially those relying on regional lending. As their bond portfolio deteriorates, they will face insolvency & most likely default on their obligations to

By Romano Mar 30, 2023

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Risk is an inherent part of life, so we cannot eliminate it entirely; however, we can shift it.